Pistons	Thunder
Reed u12.5 points  -112	Mitchell u14.5 points  -120
Jenkins u16.5 points  -120	Holmgren o1.5 assists +120
Thompson u11.5 points  -112	Wallace u7.5 points  +102

Pistons computer picksPaul Reed Under 12.5 points (-112)

Projection: 9.8 points

Paul Reed is being called upon for more minutes by the Detroit Pistons, with Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, and Duncan Robinson recently joining Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart on the injury report.

Our computer is skeptical that Reed can deliver, projecting him to fall nearly three full points short of his current line at bet365. 

The Under has been a winner in eight of Reed's last 10 overall, and the projected edge is a robust 27.52%.

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Daniss Jenkins Under 16.5 points (-120)

Projection: 14.2 points

Our computer sees a sluggish tempo contributing to a slow night at the office for Cunningham's backup, Daniss Jenkins.

"The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The Pistons will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder)."

With his projection checking in at over two points toward the Under, there's a projected edge of 23.71%.

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Ausar Thompson Under 11.5 points (-112)

Projection: 10.3 points

Ausar Thompson is listed as questionable for this game with an ankle ailment. Assuming he plays, our computer expects him to miss this Over by more than a point, signifying a 17.3% edge for Under bettors.

This ticket has been a winner in eight of Thompson's last nine overall.

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Thunder computer picksAjay Mitchell Under 14.5 points (-120)

Projection: 11.5 points

Ajay Mitchell is expected to come in well short of this line tonight. Offensive rebounds, or lack thereof, are expected to contribute to this Under.

"The Thunder rank 5th-worst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year."

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Chet Holgren Over 1.5 assists (+140)

Projection: 1.6 assists

The Oklahoma City Thunder big man has reached multiple assists in nine of his last 15 overall, and our computer is backing him to do it again on Monday night.

There is a 16.7% EV edge associated with this Chet Holmgren play, making it a four-star projection.

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Cason Wallace Under 7.5 points (+102)

Projection: 6.5 points

Cason Wallace has stayed Under his point total in eight of his last 10 contests, and he hit a fluky five triples in one of the two games in which he went Over. Our computer is not expecting lightning to strike twice in that regard tonight.

"The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%)." 

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How to watch Pistons vs Thunder tonight