Heat	Cavaliers
Adebayo o20.5 points -112	Mitchell u28.5 points  -120
Powell o2.5 threes -105	Allen o7.5 rebounds -125
Herro o4.5 rebounds -120	Harden u8.5 assists  -135

Heat computer picksBam Adebayo Over 20.5 points (-112)

Projection: 21.3 points

Bam Adebayo has been on a tear, averaging 28.8 points per game over his last 10 outings, a jump of 8.5 points above his season average.

With the Miami Heat playing at the fastest pace in the league this year, Adebayo is in a prime position to keep it rolling after clearing this points prop in eight of his last 10 games.

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Norman Powell Over 2.5 3-pointers (-105)

Projection: 3.1 3-pointers

Norman Powell has cleared this 2.5 made threes line in five of his last 10 games, and the underlying trends suggest he’s well-positioned to do it again tonight against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Powell thrives off catch-and-shoot opportunities and secondary actions rather than needing heavy on-ball usage. That’s key against a Cavaliers defense that tends to collapse into the paint to protect its interior, often conceding clean looks from beyond the arc to perimeter scorers.

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Tyler Herro Over 4.5 rebounds (-120)

Projection: 4.6 rebounds

Miami has quietly been one of the league’s strongest offensive rebounding teams on the road, ranking fourth over its last 15 away games.

Facing a vulnerable Cavaliers squad, that edge should translate into more board opportunities for Tyler Herro, who has already cleared this 4.5 rebound line in seven of his last 10 outings.

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Cavaliers computer picksDonovan Mitchell Under 28.5 points (-120)

Projection: 27.5 points

Cleveland has played at the fourth-slowest pace at home over its last five games, a tempo that doesn’t favor Donovan Mitchell in this matchup with Miami.

That trend aligns with his recent production, as he’s gone Under this 28.5-point line in eight of his last 10 games.

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Jarrett Allen Over 7.5 rebounds (-125)

Projection: 9.1 rebounds

Miami’s league-leading pace this season should create extra possessions for Cleveland, setting the stage for Jarrett Allen to stay active on the glass.

He’s been a force in that department, clearing this 7.5 rebounds line in eight of his last 10 games.

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James Harden Under 8.5 assists (-135)

Projection: 8.0 assists

James Harden has struggled to consistently hit the 8.5-assist mark lately, going Under in seven of his last 10 games.

Miami’s defense thrives on switching and disrupting passing lanes, which can force Harden into more contested or low-percentage looks when trying to facilitate.

The Heat often funnel the ball toward defenders in the paint while rotating quickly to cover shooters, limiting easy passing options and making it harder for primary ball-handlers to rack up assists.

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