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One of the matchups of the night in the NBA sees Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs host Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets.
San Antonio is on an incredible run, winning 16 of their last 17 games, going 12-4-1 ATS. Denver is getting healthy, but will its defense continue to be its Achilles heel?
My Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks explain why San Antonio is a legit contender in the West and why we can attack this spread for tonight's matchup.
Nuggets vs Spurs predictionNuggets vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -4.5 (-110)
This San Antonio Spurs run has been fueled by Victor Wembanyama and this defense. With Wemby protecting the paint and being a big favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year, the Spurs rank third in defensive rating.
The Denver Nuggets are getting healthy, and the offense is great, but their effort at the other end of the floor is holding them back, ranking 21st in defensive rating.
Additionally, the Nuggets are playing their second game in as many nights, and that means some of their recently recovered guys, like Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray, could be on limited minutes.
Nuggets vs Spurs same-game parlayThe Spurs will take advantage of some tired legs from the Nuggets and try to run them out of the gym. Denver has already allowed 125+ points in five of its last nine games, while San Antonio has topped 125 in four of its last seven. Give me the Spurs over their team total of 121.5.
Meanwhile, Wemby has taken his defense to the next level since the All-Star break. He’s averaging 4.3 blocks and 1.2 steals in 11 games since the break, and his steals + blocks prop is set at 4.5, a number he’s topped eight times during that span.
Nuggets vs Spurs SGP- Spurs -4.5
- Spurs team total Over 121.5
- Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 steals + blocks
With so many MVP candidates not being able to qualify for the award due to too many missed games, Wemby can seize an opportunity here, and will state his case against the two-time winner by stuffing the stat sheet.
Nuggets vs Spurs SGP- Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points
- Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 rebounds
- Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 assists
- Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 steals + blocks
- Spread: Nuggets +4.5 | Spurs -4.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets +145 | Spurs -200
- Over/Under: Over 240 | Under 240
The Spurs have covered the first-half spread in 33 of their last 50 games for +13.35 units and a 23% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Spurs.
How to watch Nuggets vs Spurs| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Thursday, March 12, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Altitude, FDSN-Southwest |
Not intended for use in MA.
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