The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15) and Denver Nuggets (39-25) meet for the third time this season. The Thunder are 2-0 against the Nuggets, and this matchup is set at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.

Oklahoma City is on a five-game winning streak and took eight of the past nine contests. During this winning streak, the Thunder beat the Nuggets in OT, 127-121. It was one of the more dramatic games of February. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back in the mix, the Thunder are 4-0 with wins of 6, 13, 3, and 7 points.

Denver is 4-5 since the All-Star break and dropping in odds to win the Championship and Western Conference. The Nuggets are 7-9 since Nikola Jokic returned from injury. Jokic has triple-doubled in seven out of the 16 games this season and remains second in terms of MVP odds behind Gilgeous-Alexander.

Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game Details and How to Watch Live: Nuggets at Thunder

• Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM EST
• Site: Paycom Center
• City: Oklahoma City, OK
• Network/Streaming: ESPN

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Game Odds: Nuggets at Thunder

The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:

• Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder (-270), Denver Nuggets (+220)
• Spread: Oklahoma City -6.5
• Total: 232.5 points

This game opened Thunder -7.5 with the Total set at 234.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule!

Expected Starting Lineups: Nuggets at Thunder

Denver Nuggets

• G Jamal Murray (questionable)
• SG Christian Braun
• SF Cam Johnson
• PF Aaron Gordon
• C Nikola Jokic

Oklahoma City Thunder

• PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
• SG Isaiah Joe
• SF Cason Wallace
• PF Lu Dort
• C Chet Holmgren (questionable)

Injury Report: Nuggets at Thunder

Denver Nuggets

• Jamal Murray (ankle) is listed as QUESTIONABLE for tonight’s game
• Peyton Watson (hamstring) has been ruled OUT of tonight’s game

Oklahoma City Thunder

• Jalen Williams (hamstring) is listed as OUT for tonight’s game
• Chet Holmgren (illness) is listed as QUESTIONABLE for tonight's game
• Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) is OUT for tonight's game
• Alex Caruso (hip) is QUESTIONABLE for tonight's game

Important stats, trends and insights: Nuggets at Thunder

• Denver is 35-29 ATS and 21-13 ATS as the road team, ranking fifth-best
• Denver is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog, ranking third-best
• Denver is 40-29 to the Over, ranking first
• Denver is 24-10 to the Over as the road team, ranking first
• Denver is 6-5 to the Over as a road underdog
• Oklahoma City is 31-34 ATS
• Oklahoman City is 15-17 ATS at home and 14-17 ATS as a home favorite
• Oklahoma City is 33-32 to the Over
• Oklahoma City is 17-15 to the Under at home
• Oklahoma City is 17-14 to the Under as a home favorite

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Nuggets and Thunder’ game:

• Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Thunder's Moneyline
• Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Thunder -6.5 ATS
• Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 232.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)