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The Phoenix Suns will look to bounce back from a surprising home loss last night as they host the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday evening.
Both teams are playing the second half of a back-to-back, and that’s just one of the reasons why I like the Under in my Pelicans vs. Suns predictions.
Keep reading to see my full analysis of tonight’s game and get my free NBA picks for Friday, March 6.
Pelicans vs Suns best bet: Under 226.5 (-110)
The Phoenix Suns boast some of the lowest game scores in the NBA, averaging a game total of 223.1 ppg. Phoenix has hit the Under in its last five games, with totals of 223 points or less in each of its last seven contests.
Phoenix averages 99.4 possessions per game, making it one of the five slowest teams in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans are an average team in pace metrics and rank 22nd in offensive efficiency (110.9), so they’re not going to force Phoenix to speed up. On the second night of a back-to-back for both teams, the Under is the play.
The Pelicans are playing some of their best basketball of the year, and a big part of that is having their biggest stars playing at full health.
For my same-game parlay, I’m taking New Orleans to cover behind Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III, both of whom have scored 20+ points in each of their last two games.
Pelicans vs Suns SGP- Pelicans +5.5
- Zion Williamson Over 19.5 points
- Trey Murphy III Over 19.5 points
I like taking the Pelicans to win outright, as they’re 5-2 in their last seven games and 3-2 on their current road trip.
I’ll combine that with a mix of New Orleans-based prop bets: Murphy has hit these rebounding and three-pointer Over targets in each of his last two games, while Williamson has at least 28 PRA in 11 of his last 12 games.
Pelicans vs Suns SGP- Pelicans moneyline
- Trey Murphy III Over 2.5 made threes
- Trey Murphy III Over 4.5 rebounds
- Zion Williamson Over 27.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Spread: Pelicans +7 (-110) | Suns -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Pelicans +192 | Suns -230
- Over/Under: Over 227 (-110) | Under 227 (-110)
The Under is 5-0 in Phoenix’s last five games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Suns.
How to watch Pelicans vs Suns| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Friday, March 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | GCSEN, KTVK |
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