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A pair of tanking teams face off in the Lone Star State tonight, where the Dallas Mavericks host the Memphis Grizzlies.
Both teams are decimated by injuries, which is why my Grizzlies vs. Mavericks predictions expect Memphis forward Taylor Hendricks to continue shining in an increased role.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Friday, February 27.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks predictionGrizzlies vs Mavericks best bet: Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points (-120)
The Memphis Grizzlies have been without leading scorer Ja Morant (19.5 ppg) since mid-January, and standout rookie Cedric Coward (13.3 ppg) is also sidelined.
That means plenty of shots for Taylor Hendricks, who was acquired in the Jaren Jackson trade, while Santi Aldama and Zach Edey are injured. Hendricks has stepped up, dropping 10+ points in four of his last six games.
The Dallas Mavericks' defense has collapsed with the departure of Anthony Davis and injuries to Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington. Dallas ranks 28th in the NBA in defensive rating while playing at the sixth-fastest pace over the last month.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks same-game parlayRookie guard Walter Clayton Jr. also came over in that Jaren Jackson trade, and he has also thrived in a bigger role. Clayton has dropped 6+ assists in three of four games with Memphis.
The Griz have lost seven of their last eight games, but the Mavs have dropped 11 of their previous 13. I'll take the points with the visitors against a Dallas squad on the tail end of a back-to-back.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks SGP- Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points
- Walter Clayton Jr. Over 4.5 assists
- Grizzlies +4.5
There's plenty of volatility in these late-season games between teams that aren't trying to win.
Since we're betting on a couple of hungry young players on the Grizzlies, let's also back them to lead at half and pull off the minor upset.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks SGP- Taylor Hendricks Over 9.5 points
- Walter Clayton Jr. Over 4.5 assists
- Grizzlies moneyline
- Grizzlies 1H moneyline
- Spread: Grizzlies +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +165 | Mavericks -200
- Over/Under: Over 239 (-110) | Under 239 (-110)
The Grizzlies have covered the first half spread in their last 10 games on the road (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Mavericks| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Friday, February 27, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN SE Memphis, MavsTV |
Not intended for use in MA.
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